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2023-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% -
Margin 13.9% 86.1% +10.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.2% 57.8% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% -
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% -
Points Off/Def 32.5% 67.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -2 (139-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 32 6-10 4-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 18 12 -
Stephen Curry * 31 9-15 5-10 7-7 8 7 2 0 30 32 -
Draymond Green * 28 5-11 2-4 3-3 5 3 0 1 15 13 -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 6-11 0-1 5-8 5 1 0 0 17 12 -
Kevon Looney * 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 1 4 11 -
Chris Paul 27 0-6 0-2 1-2 2 13 2 0 1 12 -
Gary Payton II 22 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 9 9 -
Jonathan Kuminga 21 9-15 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 19 7 -
Dario Saric 19 6-9 4-7 4-4 6 3 1 0 20 21 -
Moses Moody 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 8 5 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cason Wallace * 36 6-10 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 6 -
Jalen Williams * 35 8-12 0-0 2-5 3 8 1 0 18 18 -
Chet Holmgren * 31 7-9 2-2 8-8 8 5 1 1 24 30 -
Luguentz Dort * 30 9-12 6-6 5-7 5 0 0 0 29 22 -
Josh Giddey * 30 8-15 0-3 2-2 5 4 0 0 18 12 -
Isaiah Joe 26 4-6 3-5 5-6 0 1 0 0 16 11 -
Aaron Wiggins 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 7 4 -
Jaylin Williams 15 2-5 0-3 2-2 5 3 0 0 6 9 -
Vasilije Micic 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 4 -
Ousmane Dieng 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter