Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +7 (121-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 8-19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 28 | 8-14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 26 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 13 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 12 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 36 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 31 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 29 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - |
* = starter