Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.0% | 30.0% | -4.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 13-21 | 4-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 28 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 30 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 27 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 24 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 17 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - |
* = starter