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2023-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 39.9% 60.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% -
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 (52.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -56 (101-157). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 22 9-15 5-10 3-3 5 7 0 0 26 23 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 21 3-7 2-5 2-2 6 8 5 0 10 22 -
Kevon Looney * 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 4 12 -
Klay Thompson * 21 7-14 6-11 0-0 5 1 0 0 20 12 -
Draymond Green * 19 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 4 2 2 9 13 -
Moses Moody 29 10-14 4-7 1-1 4 4 0 0 25 19 -
Jonathan Kuminga 24 6-9 1-1 2-2 7 6 1 2 15 22 -
Gary Payton II 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 4 4 0 4 16 -
Jordan Poole 17 7-9 4-5 3-4 4 2 0 0 21 18 -
JaMychal Green 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Lester Quinones 10 2-2 2-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 9 10 -
Anthony Lamb 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 9 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 9 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 8 6 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skylar Mays * 40 7-17 2-7 5-5 4 12 3 0 21 23 -
Kevin Knox II * 33 4-16 2-9 3-4 0 1 1 0 13 -1 -
Jeenathan Williams * 31 7-12 1-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 17 12 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 7-18 2-8 2-2 7 4 1 0 18 12 -
Trendon Watford * 19 4-8 1-1 2-4 4 4 0 1 11 12 -
Justin Minaya 23 1-8 0-3 0-1 4 1 0 1 2 0 -
John Butler Jr. 22 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 -1 -
Jabari Walker 20 4-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 9 6 -
Chance Comanche 20 3-5 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 7 6 -

* = starter