Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (109-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 25 | 6-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 18 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 17 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 17 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 18 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 31 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 25 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 25 | 8-16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 21 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter