Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✗ (24.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -21 (117-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 31 | 8-17 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 24 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 23 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 34 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 32 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 23 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Ntilikina * | 41 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson * | 40 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 28 | 11-23 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans * | 28 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris * | 26 | 4-17 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| A.J. Lawson | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter