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2023-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (22.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.4% 67.6% -
Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% -
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% -
Points Off/Def 24.4% 75.6% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +22 (103-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 39 8-18 3-8 7-8 8 7 0 1 26 - -
Jaden Ivey * 36 7-20 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 0 16 - -
Jalen Duren * 34 2-5 0-0 0-0 18 0 0 1 4 - -
James Wiseman * 24 4-9 0-0 3-4 12 0 0 1 11 - -
R.J. Hampton * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 37 2-10 1-7 0-1 4 9 0 0 5 - -
Jared Rhoden 35 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Marvin Bagley III 19 5-12 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 12 - -
Buddy Boeheim 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 26 6-15 1-5 4-4 3 2 0 0 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 23 7-15 1-4 1-1 2 5 1 0 16 - -
Patrick Beverley * 23 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 4 3 1 2 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 17 4-9 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso * 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 2 2 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 24 4-10 1-4 0-1 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams 21 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 - -
Dalen Terry 15 3-6 0-2 4-4 3 1 3 1 10 - -
Terry Taylor 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Coby White 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Andre Drummond 12 3-7 0-0 2-4 10 0 1 0 8 - -
Carlik Jones 12 3-6 1-3 4-4 1 3 1 0 11 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 9 2-6 0-3 0-0 7 0 1 1 4 - -
Marko Simonovic 8 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter