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2023-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.7% 30.3% -
Bradley-Terry 71.3% 28.7% -
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 25.6% 74.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.6% 69.4% -
Log Adjusted 30.7% 69.3% -
Points Off/Def 31.9% 68.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 31 6-11 1-3 7-8 5 0 0 1 20 - -
Josh Christopher * 30 6-10 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Green * 27 5-10 1-3 3-4 2 4 1 0 14 - -
Alperen Sengun * 23 4-9 0-0 4-5 12 6 2 2 12 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. * 21 5-12 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Tari Eason 26 6-11 1-3 3-4 8 4 0 1 16 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 20 3-5 2-2 0-2 3 0 2 0 8 - -
Daishen Nix 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Frank Kaminsky 16 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 1 7 - -
Boban Marjanovic 12 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Usman Garuba 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Todd * 45 2-13 1-7 2-2 12 4 1 0 7 - -
Johnny Davis * 39 4-20 3-15 2-4 6 8 2 0 13 - -
Xavier Cooks * 38 5-11 0-0 0-2 14 0 2 2 10 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 29 8-14 3-8 3-4 5 5 2 1 22 - -
Corey Kispert * 12 6-8 5-7 1-1 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Quenton Jackson 32 9-13 0-2 1-2 2 5 2 0 19 - -
Kendrick Nunn 21 4-9 2-4 2-2 5 3 1 2 12 - -
Anthony Gill 20 3-8 0-2 2-4 2 2 1 0 8 - -

* = starter