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2023-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.7% 48.3% -
Margin 50.8% 49.2% -0.2 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (121-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Meyers Leonard * 30 3-4 1-2 3-3 12 1 1 0 10 - -
MarJon Beauchamp * 30 4-10 2-5 0-0 6 4 0 0 10 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 5-12 3-6 0-0 4 6 2 0 13 - -
Jevon Carter * 19 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 1 6 - -
Bobby Portis * 17 7-14 2-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 16 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 27 4-8 0-1 6-8 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Lindell Wigginton 27 5-8 2-4 5-6 1 1 0 1 17 - -
Wesley Matthews 22 0-5 0-4 3-4 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Goran Dragic 20 7-12 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Joe Ingles 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malachi Flynn * 36 7-14 2-4 4-4 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 28 6-11 2-5 0-0 13 1 2 0 14 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 27 7-13 4-7 5-5 1 3 0 0 23 - -
Scottie Barnes * 21 4-9 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 11 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Christian Koloko 24 3-4 0-1 1-2 4 3 2 0 7 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 22 4-6 1-3 1-1 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Chris Boucher 19 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 2 1 10 - -
Dalano Banton 19 5-12 0-3 1-2 5 7 0 1 11 - -
Joe Wieskamp 15 0-6 0-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Will Barton 14 5-9 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 12 - -

* = starter