Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (123-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Houstan * | 33 | 6-15 | 5-11 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 32 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 27 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 26 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 24 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Michael Carter-Williams | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haywood Highsmith * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 35 | 6-14 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 24 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 24 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo | 23 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 18 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cody Zeller | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter