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2023-04-09

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 22.2% 77.8% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.2% 59.8% -
Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Log Adjusted 27.9% 72.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.9% 69.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (120-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Holiday * 31 3-12 1-5 0-0 2 6 2 0 7 - -
AJ Griffin * 29 5-13 1-5 2-3 3 2 2 0 13 - -
Onyeka Okongwu * 26 4-7 1-2 1-2 9 2 1 0 10 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 16 5-9 1-3 3-3 3 1 0 0 14 - -
Saddiq Bey * 15 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 3 3 0 9 - -
Garrison Mathews 25 5-12 4-11 5-5 3 1 0 1 19 - -
Bruno Fernando 21 8-11 0-2 3-4 10 0 0 1 19 - -
Vit Krejci 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 - -
Jalen Johnson 18 6-10 2-4 1-2 3 3 1 3 15 - -
Trent Forrest 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 - -
Tyrese Martin 16 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Donovan Williams 2 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Pritchard * 45 10-21 9-16 1-1 14 11 0 0 30 - -
Sam Hauser * 38 9-16 8-14 0-0 5 6 1 1 26 - -
Mike Muscala * 33 9-13 4-7 5-7 8 2 0 0 27 - -
Blake Griffin * 5 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Derrick White * 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
JD Davison 34 3-6 1-3 1-2 3 3 0 2 8 - -
Luke Kornet 32 5-10 0-2 2-2 7 6 1 0 12 - -
Justin Champagnie 19 2-12 1-5 0-0 4 3 1 0 5 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 18 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 2 0 4 - -
Grant Williams 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter