🐻⬇️🏀

@
Utah Jazz 118
2023-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Utah Jazz Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% -
Bradley-Terry 75.5% 24.5% -
Margin 82.1% 17.9% -8.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% -
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% -
Points Off/Def 54.3% 45.7% -

Actual: Utah Jazz +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Gordon * 28 6-10 1-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 28 7-12 6-8 1-1 0 3 1 2 21 - -
Jamal Murray * 28 7-13 4-10 2-2 4 5 1 1 20 - -
Nikola Jokic * 26 2-5 0-1 2-2 10 10 2 0 6 - -
Michael Porter Jr. * 20 6-14 3-9 0-0 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Christian Braun 25 5-8 0-2 4-5 6 1 3 1 14 - -
Reggie Jackson 22 3-12 1-8 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Peyton Watson 17 1-1 0-0 4-7 3 4 0 3 6 - -
Zeke Nnaji 12 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 - -
Vlatko Cancar 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Jeff Green 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 3 - -
Ish Smith 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kris Dunn * 36 6-13 0-0 7-8 8 14 3 1 19 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 35 10-25 3-11 5-5 3 3 1 0 28 - -
Udoka Azubuike * 30 3-4 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 1 8 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 30 2-9 0-2 3-3 6 5 1 0 7 - -
Luka Samanic * 30 9-14 3-6 2-4 8 1 2 0 23 - -
Simone Fontecchio 22 6-15 3-8 0-0 6 4 1 0 15 - -
Micah Potter 21 4-7 2-4 0-0 10 1 1 0 10 - -
Damian Jones 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Johnny Juzang 15 1-9 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter