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2023-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.8% 28.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 51.3% 48.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% -
Log Adjusted 57.8% 42.2% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +14 (121-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Okogie * 29 3-10 2-6 8-8 6 2 0 0 16 - -
Torrey Craig * 28 8-12 2-5 0-0 6 1 1 4 18 - -
Landry Shamet * 22 2-9 2-5 1-1 4 5 3 0 7 - -
Cameron Payne * 15 5-13 1-4 2-2 1 4 0 0 13 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 3 4 - -
Jock Landale 29 8-13 0-1 1-3 10 2 0 0 17 - -
Terrence Ross 28 5-11 0-3 0-0 3 6 1 1 10 - -
Ish Wainright 25 1-8 0-7 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Saben Lee 24 4-12 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Damion Lee 18 3-9 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 7 - -
Darius Bazley 6 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 33 4-12 0-1 6-7 21 4 0 3 14 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 33 9-14 6-9 0-0 3 3 0 0 24 - -
Austin Reaves * 31 9-13 1-4 3-5 0 5 1 0 22 - -
LeBron James * 29 6-19 3-7 1-2 6 6 0 0 16 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Malik Beasley 25 7-14 4-10 3-3 2 2 2 0 21 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 24 3-6 2-2 0-0 6 3 2 0 8 - -
Rui Hachimura 22 5-8 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 - -
Mo Bamba 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Max Christie 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Davon Reed 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter