Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -22 (97-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 11-19 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 16 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 27 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 21 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 0-10 | 0-6 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 19 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 33 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Terence Davis * | 31 | 4-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -1 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell * | 27 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Alex Len * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 22 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 20 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 14 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter