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2023-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 44.3% 55.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 37.1% 62.9% +2.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.4% 48.6% -
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.8% 54.2% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -3 (112-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Coby White * 42 10-17 2-6 2-2 7 11 0 0 24 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 6-14 0-5 0-0 9 5 1 0 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 36 9-18 3-5 2-3 8 2 2 2 23 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 27 7-11 1-3 5-5 10 4 0 0 20 - -
Alex Caruso * 17 3-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 7 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 20 2-6 2-4 0-2 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Dalen Terry 16 3-10 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 8 - -
Carlik Jones 15 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Javonte Green 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 1 - -
Terry Taylor 12 4-4 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 8 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Ntilikina * 33 2-7 1-3 2-2 3 3 3 1 7 - -
Reggie Bullock * 33 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 5 0 0 6 - -
Jaden Hardy * 16 3-9 3-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Luka Doncic * 12 4-11 0-5 5-7 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Dwight Powell * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 30 3-10 2-8 0-0 7 3 1 0 8 - -
Justin Holiday 26 5-11 1-6 0-1 6 3 2 1 11 - -
McKinley Wright IV 23 6-14 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 13 - -
A.J. Lawson 22 5-9 2-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 12 - -
Davis Bertans 15 3-7 2-6 3-3 2 0 1 0 11 - -
Markieff Morris 8 5-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 13 - -
JaVale McGee 7 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 9 - -

* = starter