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2023-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 45.7% 54.3% +0.9 (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.8% 54.2% -
Log Adjusted 45.8% 54.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -23 (114-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Kennard * 32 7-9 5-7 0-0 4 5 0 0 19 - -
Dillon Brooks * 31 4-13 1-8 2-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Desmond Bane * 31 6-12 4-9 0-0 8 6 0 0 16 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 12-18 5-6 7-8 4 2 1 3 36 - -
Ja Morant * 24 5-8 0-1 2-5 6 8 0 0 12 - -
John Konchar 29 6-8 1-3 0-0 7 3 5 0 13 - -
Tyus Jones 22 4-9 2-4 0-0 0 9 1 0 10 - -
Xavier Tillman 17 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 1 8 - -
David Roddy 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 4 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Kennedy Chandler 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 2 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
MarJon Beauchamp * 43 3-12 3-8 4-4 6 4 2 2 13 - -
Lindell Wigginton * 41 10-20 4-10 1-1 5 11 0 1 25 - -
Meyers Leonard * 25 3-9 1-5 2-2 7 0 0 0 9 - -
Jae Crowder * 24 10-12 4-5 0-0 1 0 2 0 24 - -
AJ Green * 14 2-6 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 38 6-11 0-2 0-2 8 4 0 0 12 - -
Goran Dragic 25 4-11 4-8 2-2 6 4 0 0 14 - -
Jevon Carter 21 3-10 3-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter