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2023-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.4% 75.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.8% 68.2% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +19 (121-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 31 3-11 2-6 4-4 0 8 2 0 12 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 30 3-10 1-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 7 - -
Pascal Siakam * 29 8-15 1-3 2-2 3 2 4 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 29 3-10 0-2 2-3 2 3 0 1 8 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 3 - -
Precious Achiuwa 23 6-10 1-3 3-3 7 0 1 0 16 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 21 4-10 0-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Chris Boucher 15 2-7 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 - -
Will Barton 15 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 2 0 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -
Christian Koloko 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 3 4-4 2-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Joe Wieskamp 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Hauser * 36 10-16 6-12 0-0 5 2 0 0 26 - -
Al Horford * 27 4-8 3-7 0-0 5 3 0 3 11 - -
Derrick White * 27 4-7 0-2 4-5 6 10 1 0 12 - -
Robert Williams III * 25 4-5 0-0 0-1 9 2 2 3 8 - -
Jayson Tatum * 19 7-12 0-5 7-9 3 4 0 0 21 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 9-14 4-8 0-0 4 5 0 0 22 - -
Mike Muscala 22 4-8 1-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Blake Griffin 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 1 3 - -
Grant Williams 17 0-4 0-3 3-4 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
JD Davison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Champagnie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter