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2023-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (115-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 42 9-20 3-8 8-10 5 9 2 0 29 - -
Killian Hayes * 39 9-19 3-7 7-7 4 6 4 1 28 - -
R.J. Hampton * 31 5-11 0-3 0-0 6 2 1 1 10 - -
Jalen Duren * 22 5-6 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 10 - -
James Wiseman * 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Jared Rhoden 34 4-9 2-3 0-0 6 1 2 1 10 - -
Cory Joseph 32 7-14 4-9 0-0 3 5 2 0 18 - -
Marvin Bagley III 22 4-9 1-1 5-7 5 1 0 1 14 - -
Buddy Boeheim 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 38 4-10 0-1 8-10 4 3 2 0 16 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 30 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 10 0 0 12 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 29 7-10 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 3 15 - -
Jordan Nwora * 24 6-13 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 13 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 17 4-9 2-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Gabe York 29 2-7 2-7 2-2 5 3 1 0 8 - -
Buddy Hield 21 7-14 5-11 3-4 6 2 1 0 22 - -
James Johnson 18 3-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 - -
George Hill 17 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 5 0 0 9 - -
Oshae Brissett 11 0-1 0-0 4-6 1 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter