Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.4% | 21.6% | -7.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -3 (109-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 9-22 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Maledon * | 38 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk * | 31 | 8-21 | 5-14 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| JT Thor * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 25 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 20 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Xavier Sneed | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kobi Simmons | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter