Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 38 | 11-18 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 30 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 22 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 40 | 9-18 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 37 | 9-15 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 15 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter