Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (129-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Butler Jr. * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jeenathan Williams * | 31 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 27 | 9-13 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford * | 19 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 25 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 24 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 23 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 10-24 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 30 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 26 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 23 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter