Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Philadelphia 76ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 | ✗ (28.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -28 (101-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 31 | 7-17 | 5-8 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 29 | 9-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Max Strus * | 24 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 35 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 19 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Philadelphia 76ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid * | 30 | 9-13 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| James Harden * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Shake Milton | 26 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 20 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Furkan Korkmaz | 10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter