Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +4 (123-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 32 | 10-26 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 31 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 29 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk | 23 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 43 | 12-23 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 9-19 | 3-11 | 8-10 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 30 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 24 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter