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2023-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% -
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% -
Margin 72.0% 28.0% -5.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.9% 53.1% -
Log Adjusted 46.8% 53.2% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (138-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 42 9-21 2-8 4-5 4 5 1 0 24 - -
Tyus Jones * 42 5-9 1-4 2-2 8 12 4 1 13 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 40 13-28 3-9 11-12 9 3 1 4 40 - -
Dillon Brooks * 37 9-15 5-8 2-4 6 2 2 0 25 - -
Santi Aldama * 6 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
David Roddy 38 3-7 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 22 3-9 0-1 0-1 5 3 1 0 6 - -
John Konchar 22 5-7 0-0 0-1 9 4 1 1 10 - -
Kennedy Chandler 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 0 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 46 9-18 7-13 5-6 2 4 3 0 30 - -
Brandon Ingram * 46 7-18 1-4 9-12 6 13 2 1 24 - -
CJ McCollum * 44 10-16 6-9 5-10 10 6 1 0 31 - -
Herbert Jones * 43 11-21 5-8 8-9 7 3 0 3 35 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 3 4 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 33 2-3 0-0 0-0 9 5 1 0 4 - -
Josh Richardson 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter