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2023-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Log Adjusted 44.0% 56.0% -
Points Off/Def 41.4% 58.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (105-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 3-12 0-1 2-2 3 6 2 0 8 - -
Zach LaVine * 36 5-17 1-8 2-3 5 7 0 1 13 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 33 9-21 1-6 2-2 11 4 0 0 21 - -
Patrick Williams * 28 2-8 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Patrick Beverley * 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 5 7 4 1 8 - -
Coby White 24 6-10 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 0 14 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 19 3-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 2 1 8 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 2 0 8 - -
Andre Drummond 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Marko Simonovic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Carlik Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 36 8-17 4-8 0-0 8 15 2 0 20 - -
Bobby Portis * 36 9-18 6-9 3-3 13 1 1 0 27 - -
Brook Lopez * 36 10-19 0-2 6-8 7 1 0 1 26 - -
Jevon Carter * 32 6-11 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 16 - -
Khris Middleton * 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wesley Matthews 30 3-7 1-4 0-0 8 2 1 1 7 - -
Joe Ingles 24 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 3 2 0 9 - -
Jae Crowder 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 0 - -
AJ Green 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Meyers Leonard 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter