Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +18 (134-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Davis * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 22 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 29 | - | |
| Anthony Gill * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jay Huff | 29 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Quenton Jackson | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 26 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | - | |
| Xavier Cooks | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| Isaiah Todd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 16-18 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 33 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| John Collins * | 25 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 23 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 23 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 22 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 21 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter