Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.3% | 68.7% | +4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +21 (115-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 29 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 29 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 25 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 27 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 24 | 0-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 5 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 32 | 9-21 | 2-10 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 24 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 16 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 2 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter