Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.4% | 28.6% | -5.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (136-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 33 | 11-17 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 32 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 28 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 28 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 27 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 11-25 | 6-13 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 30 | 8-19 | 5-12 | 9-11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 19 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 31 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 25 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 17 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter