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2023-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.3% 50.7% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (103-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keegan Murray * 34 7-12 7-10 0-0 6 1 0 1 21 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 32 7-12 1-2 1-2 12 11 0 0 16 - -
Harrison Barnes * 31 5-9 1-3 5-5 0 1 3 0 16 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 29 10-23 2-6 1-2 5 9 1 0 23 - -
Kevin Huerter * 21 5-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 2 1 11 - -
Malik Monk 23 6-9 2-5 3-4 2 3 2 0 17 - -
Davion Mitchell 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Trey Lyles 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 2 4 - -
Kessler Edwards 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 - -
PJ Dozier 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Terence Davis 3 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Chimezie Metu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Richaun Holmes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Keon Ellis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 7-15 1-2 7-8 7 6 2 1 22 - -
Trey Murphy III * 35 6-12 3-8 2-3 2 2 1 0 17 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 6-19 0-4 0-0 5 3 0 1 12 - -
Herbert Jones * 30 5-10 1-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 5-10 0-0 3-4 8 4 0 0 13 - -
Josh Richardson 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 7 - -
Naji Marshall 14 1-5 0-1 2-3 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Dyson Daniels 12 4-4 1-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Jaxson Hayes 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Garrett Temple 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter