Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (119-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skylar Mays * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 29 | 8-18 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jeenathan Williams * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II * | 24 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 27 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| John Butler Jr. | 25 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 20 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Justin Minaya | 17 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane * | 36 | 12-22 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Ja Morant * | 35 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard * | 34 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 32 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 21 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter