Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +21 (124-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 8-20 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 17 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 12-27 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 37 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 7-17 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 18 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter