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2023-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (20.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -18 (105-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 34 7-13 0-3 3-3 3 9 1 0 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 33 8-13 2-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 18 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 33 9-15 5-10 3-3 4 5 0 0 26 - -
Clint Capela * 25 5-6 0-0 3-4 14 0 0 0 13 - -
John Collins * 23 3-9 0-2 3-3 6 2 0 2 9 - -
AJ Griffin 24 2-7 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 7 - -
Jalen Johnson 22 7-10 1-3 1-2 4 2 3 1 16 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 4-7 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 3 11 - -
Trent Forrest 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Aaron Holiday 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vit Krejci 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Donovan Williams 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-17 1-4 6-6 4 2 1 0 21 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 34 8-15 0-2 3-3 10 3 0 0 19 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 11-21 1-7 3-4 3 6 1 0 26 - -
Patrick Beverley * 31 4-9 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 1 11 - -
Alex Caruso * 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Patrick Williams 26 6-9 2-5 1-2 2 1 2 2 15 - -
Coby White 22 3-10 0-4 1-1 1 3 1 0 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Andre Drummond 7 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 2 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Marko Simonovic 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter