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2023-04-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 70.1% 29.9% -
Margin 81.1% 18.9% -8.0 (10.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% -
Efficiency 54.9% 45.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.8% 45.2% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +2 (103-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 40 9-18 4-10 4-4 7 4 0 2 26 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 7-20 2-8 3-5 6 6 3 0 19 - -
Al Horford * 34 4-12 3-10 0-0 8 6 0 0 11 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 7-15 2-7 1-3 4 4 1 0 17 - -
Grant Williams * 28 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 27 7-16 2-4 2-4 4 3 0 0 18 - -
Luke Kornet 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Mike Muscala 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Blake Griffin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 - -
Sam Hauser 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 7-17 4-9 2-2 5 10 1 2 20 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 39 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 5 - -
Joel Embiid * 38 20-25 0-1 12-13 13 6 0 2 52 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 2-8 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 - -
P.J. Tucker * 27 4-5 3-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 11 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Georges Niang 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 15 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Paul Reed 9 1-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter