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2023-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% - ✓
Margin 80.3% 19.7% -7.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - ✓
Efficiency 62.6% 37.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 59.7% 40.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.7% 40.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (128-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 32 9-16 0-0 10-17 11 10 2 1 28 - -
Jrue Holiday * 30 12-21 2-6 0-1 9 10 0 0 26 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 8-11 4-7 0-0 0 1 1 5 20 - -
Jae Crowder * 23 7-11 4-5 1-1 9 0 1 0 19 - -
Pat Connaughton * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Bobby Portis 31 5-15 5-9 4-8 20 4 0 0 19 - -
Wesley Matthews 29 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Joe Ingles 27 4-6 4-6 0-0 3 5 2 1 12 - -
Goran Dragic 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnny Davis * 36 9-17 2-5 0-1 5 4 2 2 20 - -
Corey Kispert * 34 6-15 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Jordan Goodwin * 28 6-16 2-4 0-0 4 9 0 1 14 - -
Anthony Gill * 21 2-4 1-1 3-5 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Daniel Gafford * 21 7-10 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 0 15 - -
Jay Huff 26 5-10 3-6 4-5 9 2 2 0 17 - -
Xavier Cooks 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Kendrick Nunn 22 9-17 5-6 1-2 7 6 2 1 24 - -
Quenton Jackson 22 2-5 0-1 6-6 1 4 1 0 10 - -

* = starter