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2023-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 69.4% 30.6% -4.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 71.7% 28.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.5% 28.5% -
Points Off/Def 60.8% 39.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -4 (113-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 40 15-23 5-9 8-9 5 4 0 1 43 - -
Darius Garland * 38 6-16 1-4 3-3 2 10 0 1 16 - -
Evan Mobley * 35 5-10 1-2 3-4 7 4 1 1 14 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 6-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 2 12 - -
Dean Wade * 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 - -
Caris LeVert 35 7-10 5-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 19 - -
Ricky Rubio 11 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 3 - -
Lamar Stevens 10 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Cedi Osman 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 7-16 2-4 4-6 10 4 1 0 20 - -
Markelle Fultz * 36 11-17 1-1 0-0 2 8 0 0 23 - -
Franz Wagner * 33 7-18 1-3 2-3 6 1 1 0 17 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 31 6-10 4-5 1-2 12 3 2 0 17 - -
Gary Harris * 23 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Cole Anthony 26 4-6 1-1 6-6 4 5 1 0 15 - -
Jalen Suggs 24 4-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Goga Bitadze 16 5-9 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 10 - -
Moritz Wagner 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter