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2023-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% -
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% -
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -20 (100-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 34 8-16 0-2 6-7 14 4 2 2 22 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 29 8-15 1-6 0-0 2 5 2 1 17 - -
Scottie Barnes * 29 0-7 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 - -
Fred VanVleet * 26 4-9 3-5 5-6 1 6 4 1 16 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 21 5-9 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 10 - -
Chris Boucher 26 6-8 3-4 6-7 2 0 0 0 21 - -
Will Barton 20 7-12 6-9 0-0 1 2 1 0 20 - -
Precious Achiuwa 14 4-8 2-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 1 1 - -
Christian Koloko 11 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Joe Wieskamp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Theo Maledon * 39 5-14 1-2 2-2 6 11 2 0 13 - -
Bryce McGowens * 35 7-12 2-5 4-6 6 3 0 0 20 - -
JT Thor * 34 4-9 3-6 2-2 7 1 0 2 13 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 33 7-14 3-8 0-0 5 7 1 0 17 - -
Nick Richards * 27 7-9 0-0 4-5 11 1 0 0 18 - -
James Bouknight 22 3-9 2-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Kai Jones 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Xavier Sneed 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Kobi Simmons 11 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 5 - -

* = starter