Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (112-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 39 | 9-28 | 5-16 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 8-28 | 2-14 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 31 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 41 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 38 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 10-17 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 16 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter