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2023-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 52.8% 47.2% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (117-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 34 9-15 6-7 5-5 4 2 1 0 29 - -
James Harden * 34 4-9 1-3 2-2 2 6 1 0 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 11-25 1-7 5-5 9 5 0 0 28 - -
Tobias Harris * 28 3-6 0-3 0-0 3 3 1 2 6 - -
P.J. Tucker * 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Georges Niang 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jalen McDaniels 14 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 13 4-5 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 8 - -
Danuel House Jr. 9 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Shake Milton 4 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 34 7-11 2-4 2-2 3 3 4 0 18 - -
Khris Middleton * 31 6-14 3-8 4-4 3 9 0 0 19 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 31 13-17 0-1 7-13 14 6 1 3 33 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 9-13 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 21 - -
Grayson Allen * 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 - -
Bobby Portis 27 8-11 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 18 - -
Jevon Carter 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 0 - -
Joe Ingles 19 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Jae Crowder 17 0-5 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 - -
Goran Dragic 1 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wesley Matthews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter