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2023-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Nwora * 35 4-15 2-8 5-6 10 3 0 0 15 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 32 5-12 1-2 8-8 9 0 0 2 19 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 32 4-9 3-4 3-6 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 31 6-14 1-2 0-0 2 8 3 0 13 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 20 1-5 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 2 3 - -
Jalen Smith 27 5-8 1-2 1-1 8 0 0 2 12 - -
Buddy Hield 22 3-8 1-4 3-3 5 1 2 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 7-8 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 0 16 - -
Oshae Brissett 17 1-4 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 39 14-25 3-9 9-12 6 1 3 0 40 - -
Evan Mobley * 39 7-17 0-1 0-0 16 4 0 4 14 - -
Darius Garland * 39 8-20 2-3 2-2 3 6 2 0 20 - -
Dean Wade * 27 2-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Jarrett Allen * 26 6-9 0-0 3-6 7 1 1 0 15 - -
Caris LeVert 33 5-10 2-6 3-4 3 4 0 3 15 - -
Ricky Rubio 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 - -
Lamar Stevens 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Cedi Osman 8 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter