Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✗ (21.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (118-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren | 11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 39 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 37 | 11-22 | 0-0 | 17-17 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams * | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter