Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✗ (31.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -25 (109-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 30 | 15-20 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 29 | 8-18 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 25 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 24 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 23 | 5-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 40 | 7-21 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 36 | 7-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 25 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 16 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter