Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -8 (134-142). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 30 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins * | 23 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 28 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 8-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 28 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 39 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 7-12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 37 | 10-23 | 0-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 35 | 5-17 | 2-12 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Keegan Murray * | 35 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 16 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter