Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +1.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +2 (132-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 44 | 16-27 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 43 | 8-21 | 3-12 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 39 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 29 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-10 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 41 | 11-21 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 41 | 8-24 | 0-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 25 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter