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2023-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.6% 54.4% -
Margin 54.6% 45.4% -1.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% -
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% -
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +21 (128-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 34 7-16 2-5 1-1 10 10 0 0 17 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 8-12 2-3 3-3 5 4 0 1 21 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 5-15 4-11 0-0 4 4 1 0 14 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 29 11-20 5-8 4-4 8 1 0 1 31 - -
Xavier Tillman * 29 2-2 0-0 2-4 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kennard 27 2-7 2-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 6 - -
Santi Aldama 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
David Roddy 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kenneth Lofton Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
John Konchar 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kennedy Chandler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jake LaRavia 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 13-19 3-8 7-8 3 9 1 0 36 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 33 11-26 0-4 9-9 5 7 1 0 31 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 32 6-10 1-2 0-1 10 2 1 1 13 - -
Alex Caruso * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 3 2 5 - -
Patrick Beverley * 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 - -
Coby White 30 8-13 2-5 1-1 6 4 1 0 19 - -
Patrick Williams 26 5-10 2-5 0-0 3 1 1 3 12 - -
Ayo Dosunmu 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 9 1-1 0-0 2-3 0 0 1 0 4 - -
Andre Drummond 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Dalen Terry 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter