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2023-04-02

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% - ✓
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 ✓ (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 72.2% 27.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 61.5% 38.5% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -20 (108-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 38 16-24 2-7 2-2 7 7 2 0 36 - -
Fred VanVleet * 37 7-17 1-8 5-5 5 20 3 0 20 - -
Scottie Barnes * 36 6-12 0-1 0-0 3 3 2 1 12 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 34 9-13 5-6 0-0 7 1 0 0 23 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 8-12 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 4 16 - -
Chris Boucher 16 3-9 0-3 1-1 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Christian Koloko 15 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 6 - -
Precious Achiuwa 12 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ron Harper Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Joe Wieskamp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalano Banton 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Theo Maledon * 40 4-16 0-6 0-0 8 14 0 1 8 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk * 33 10-17 5-9 1-1 4 5 2 0 26 - -
JT Thor * 33 3-7 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Bryce McGowens * 30 3-6 1-2 4-6 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Mark Williams * 26 7-15 0-0 1-1 12 0 0 0 15 - -
Kai Jones 31 5-10 0-2 0-1 5 2 1 3 10 - -
James Bouknight 25 7-11 5-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 21 - -
Xavier Sneed 15 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Kobi Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter