Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.9% | 44.1% | -1.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (100-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Brown * | 37 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 36 | 10-23 | 2-4 | 4-10 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Reggie Jackson * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 23 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 14 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 9-20 | 2-9 | 7-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 11-15 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie * | 28 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| T.J. Warren | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter