Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (130-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 28 | 8-21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Wesley | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 17 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 11-18 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 11-21 | 7-11 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 27 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 8-17 | 6-13 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lester Quinones | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter