Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +6 (121-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Bagley III * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 34 | 8-20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 25 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jared Rhoden | 15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 37 | 12-20 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 10-16 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 9-12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 1-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter