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2023-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% -
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% -
Margin 77.2% 22.8% -6.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 43.1% 56.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% -
Log Adjusted 42.7% 57.3% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (109-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Markelle Fultz * 33 11-15 2-2 1-2 6 4 0 2 25 22 -
Paolo Banchero * 33 8-17 1-3 13-14 12 6 0 3 30 34 -
Franz Wagner * 32 8-14 2-3 2-2 5 1 0 1 20 13 -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 5-11 1-5 0-2 7 3 0 1 11 11 -
Gary Harris * 20 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
Cole Anthony 27 7-11 2-3 0-0 7 4 0 2 16 18 -
Jalen Suggs 23 2-6 0-2 4-6 3 2 1 1 8 9 -
Goga Bitadze 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 2 2 7 -
Caleb Houstan 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 1 -
Moritz Wagner 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 41 9-14 9-14 0-0 3 0 0 0 27 16 -
Daniel Gafford * 32 8-14 0-0 2-3 13 1 1 2 18 21 -
Delon Wright * 32 8-15 2-6 3-3 9 4 1 0 21 20 -
Deni Avdija * 31 2-14 0-6 2-3 6 4 0 0 6 2 -
Monte Morris * 13 1-5 1-3 1-1 3 5 1 0 4 8 -
Johnny Davis 28 4-15 2-10 0-0 3 1 0 2 10 1 -
Jordan Goodwin 17 2-9 1-5 2-2 5 5 1 0 7 9 -
Kendrick Nunn 13 5-10 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 12 9 -
Anthony Gill 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 2 -
Taj Gibson 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Xavier Cooks 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter