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2023-03-31

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +7 (117-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O.G. Anunoby * 41 6-12 3-8 2-2 3 3 1 1 17 - -
Pascal Siakam * 41 5-15 1-3 3-4 4 7 0 0 14 - -
Fred VanVleet * 41 5-17 3-10 6-7 5 6 1 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 13-19 0-1 3-4 9 8 4 1 29 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 6-8 0-0 2-4 10 2 0 0 14 - -
Chris Boucher 18 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Christian Koloko 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Precious Achiuwa 7 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 9-14 3-6 2-2 3 11 2 1 23 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 5-8 2-4 1-1 0 6 0 0 13 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 7-13 0-2 11-12 12 1 0 1 25 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 32 5-9 0-3 3-4 4 3 3 1 13 - -
P.J. Tucker * 25 3-7 3-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 9 - -
Jalen McDaniels 20 3-4 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 2 7 - -
Shake Milton 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 14 3-5 0-0 5-5 6 2 0 1 11 - -
Danuel House Jr. 12 3-5 1-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 11 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

* = starter